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PNCL > SEC Filings for PNCL > Form 10-Q on 7-May-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for PINNACLE AIRLINES CORP


7-May-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this Current Report on Form 10-Q (or otherwise made by or on the behalf of Pinnacle Airlines Corp.) contain various forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements represent management's beliefs and assumptions concerning future events. When used in this document and in documents incorporated by reference, forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding financial forecasts or projections, our expectations, beliefs, intentions or future strategies that are signified by the words "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "believes" or similar language. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our actual results and the timing of certain events to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements included in this Report are based on information available to us on the date of this Report. It is routine for our internal projections and expectations to change as the year or each quarter in the year progress, and therefore it should be clearly understood that the internal projections, beliefs and assumptions upon which we base our expectations may change prior to the end of each quarter or the year. Although these expectations may change, we may not inform you if they do. Our policy is generally to provide our expectations only once per quarter, and not to update that information until the next quarter.

Many important factors, in addition to those discussed in this Report, could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Some of the potential factors that could affect our results are described in "Overview and Outlook." In light of these risks and uncertainties, and others not described in this Report, the forward-looking events discussed in this Report might not occur, might occur at a different time, or might cause effects of a different magnitude or direction than presently anticipated.

General

The following management's discussion and analysis describes the principal factors affecting the Company's results of operations, liquidity, capital resources and contractual cash obligations. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 ("Annual Report"), which include additional information about our business practices, significant accounting policies, risk factors, and the transactions that underlie our financial results.

Our website address is www.pncl.com. All of our filings with the SEC are available free of charge through our website as soon as reasonably practicable after we file them with, or furnish them to, the SEC.

Overview and Outlook

During 2009, we intend to focus on controlling costs, maintaining our strong operational reliability at both of our operating subsidiaries, and strengthening our balance sheet. The regional airline industry is facing a period of slower growth and pressure from major airline partners to reduce costs and potentially reduce some regional airline capacity. While we do not expect significant adjustments in our fleet size in 2009, we do expect significant cost pressure during this period of low growth. Specifically, we anticipate higher costs in 2009 resulting from an expected new collective bargaining agreement with our pilots at Pinnacle, reduced employee attrition resulting in higher levels of flight crew staffing, higher health care costs, increased landing fees and facility rental expense at the airports that we serve, and general inflationary pressure within the rest of our cost structure.

Further magnifying the effect of these anticipated cost pressures, we did not receive an increase in the rates for 2009 that Delta pays us under our CRJ-200 ASA. The CRJ-200 ASA contains a provision to adjust rates annually (subject to a cap on the increase and a floor of zero) based on the change in the Producers Price Index ("PPI"), as published by the United States Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. The PPI declined from December 2007 to December 2008, resulting in no change to our rates for 2009 under our CRJ-200 ASA.


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

In addition, our pro-rate operations are susceptible to changes in passenger demand and fuel price volatility. We took a number of steps during 2008 to eliminate unprofitable markets, reduce costs, and increase revenue in our remaining pro-rate markets. These steps and lower fuel prices have significantly reduced the operating losses of our pro-rate operations, although our pro-rate operations remained unprofitable during the seasonally weak first quarter of 2009. Additionally, the airline industry is experiencing the effects of the current recessionary environment in the United States. Industry passenger revenue declined dramatically during the first quarter of 2009, and our pro-rate operations were negatively affected by this drop. We cannot predict how severely the recessionary environment will affect us in 2009, but we do expect continued year-over-year declines in the unit revenue of our pro-rate operations.

To offset these anticipated negative financial trends during 2009, we have undertaken an internal initiative to generate a mix of cost savings and additional revenue opportunities of at least $10.0 million. We expect to achieve this objective through a combination of reducing our operating costs, adjusting capacity in our pro-rate operations to match the demand environment, and increasing ancillary third-party business such as ground handling. We have not yet fully identified the components of this initiative, and there can be no assurance that we will attain our target of at least $10.0 million in improvements. We believe it is critical to reduce our costs not only to increase our current profitability and improve our liquidity, but to also remain competitive long term in the regional airline industry.

The collective bargaining agreement between Pinnacle and the Air Line Pilots Association ("ALPA"), the union representing Pinnacle's pilots, has been amendable since April 2005. We believe it is of utmost importance to reach an agreement with ALPA that is consistent with our company-wide philosophy of industry-average pay and benefits, along with enhanced employee productivity. Wage rates for Pinnacle's pilot group are currently below industry average, and a new collective bargaining agreement is expected to contain an increase in pay for Pinnacle's pilots. Such increase could be substantial, and may also include a considerable one-time signing bonus. The increase in pay for Pinnacle's pilots will likely reduce our profitability in 2009 and in future periods. In addition, Colgan's pilots recently elected representation by ALPA. We have not begun discussions or set a timeline with ALPA to commence negotiations of a collective bargaining agreement covering Colgan's pilots. While we intend to vigorously pursue obtaining a fair contract with ALPA at both of our operating subsidiaries, the timing of the resolution of these matters cannot be predicted.

Although we expect 2009 to be a challenging year, we are positioning ourselves for success in 2010 and beyond. We recently agreed with Continental to expand our Continental CPA by adding 15 Q400 aircraft from August 2010 through April 2011. We also acquired an additional 15 Q400 options from the aircraft manufacturer, thereby increasing the total number of our Q400 options to
30. These options, if exercised, provide for the delivery of 15 Q400s in 2011 and the remaining 15 in 2013. The Q400 aircraft has become a very competitive product within the regional airline industry. The purchase price of the Q400 is significantly less than that of comparably sized regional jets, and the Q400 uses up to 30% less fuel. As a result, we can offer our airline partners a large, passenger-friendly regional aircraft with a lower operating cost than that of similar regional jets.

In addition to growing Colgan with the Q400 aircraft, we are positioning ourselves to capitalize on long-term opportunities to increase the number of regional jets that we operate at Pinnacle. Capacity purchase agreements for over 400 50-seat regional jet aircraft at our competitors are set to expire between 2009 and 2015. While many of these regional jets will likely no longer operate within the networks of the major U.S. airlines, we believe some of these contracts will be renewed or offered to other regional airlines and some will be replaced with larger regional jets. We intend to actively compete to obtain profitable regional jet flying during this period of transition within the industry, and we believe our history of strong operating performance with a competitive cost structure will position us to succeed. Our capacity purchase contracts do not begin to expire until December 2017.

We own $131.0 million par amount of auction rate securities ("ARS"). Due to unprecedented events in the credit markets during 2008, these investments became illiquid and suffered a decline in fair value. In reaction to the failure of the ARS market, the bank that structured and sold to us our portfolio of ARS provided us with a $90.0 million short-term credit facility collateralized by our ARS. We are in discussions with this bank to obtain additional capital. Such discussions include potential resolution of the situation by selling our ARS portfolio to the bank in exchange for a release of potential legal liability related to the failure of the ARS market, or an increase in the amount of funds available under the Credit Facility. In the event a resolution is not achieved in the near future, we may be forced to pursue our legal remedies against the bank.


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

In addition to actions noted above to improve our operating income longer term, we are focused on building our cash balance throughout 2009 in advance of the first date that holders of our remaining outstanding $109.0 million par amount 3.25% senior convertible notes (the "Notes") may contractually require us to repay the Notes. Although the Notes have a final maturity date in 2025, holders of the Notes may tender them to us on February 15, 2010 (the "Put Date") for a cash payment equal to the $109.0 million par amount. We repurchased $12.0 million par amount of the Notes for approximately $8.9 million in January 2009, resulting in the currently outstanding par amount of $109.0 million. We may purchase additional Notes during 2009 to the extent that Notes are offered for sale below par and to the extent that our resources allow.

While we anticipate positive cash flow from our operations during 2009, we do not believe that we will have sufficient cash resources to fully repay this obligation in February 2010 without raising additional capital. In addition to obtaining additional capital from the bank that structured and sold to us our ARS portfolio, we are in negotiations with a lender to execute a term loan secured by our expendable and rotable aircraft parts. We anticipate executing this transaction during the second quarter of 2009. This aircraft parts term loan and the potential to obtain additional capital associated with our ARS portfolio will assist us in our efforts to increase our cash balances prior to the Put Date for our Notes, although no assurance can be given that we will successfully complete either capital raising initiative. To the extent that we are not successful in achieving the cash balance necessary to repay any Notes that are tendered on the Put Date and maintain our operating liquidity, we may attempt to negotiate with holders of the Notes to extend the Put Date or otherwise modify the terms of the Notes.

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