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MTN > SEC Filings for MTN > Form 10-K on 24-Sep-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for VAIL RESORTS INC


24-Sep-2009

Annual Report


ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.

The following Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of the Company should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and notes related thereto included in this Form 10-K. To the extent that the following Management's Discussion and Analysis contains statements which are not of a historical nature, such statements are forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. These risks include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Item 1A, "Risk Factors" in this Form 10-K. The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the Forward-Looking Statements and Item 1A, "Risk Factors" each included in this Form 10-K.

Management's Discussion and Analysis includes discussion of financial performance within each of the Company's segments. The Company has chosen to specifically include Reported EBITDA (defined as segment net revenue less segment operating expense, plus or minus segment equity investment income or loss and for the Real Estate segment, plus gain on sale of real property) and Net Debt (defined as long-term debt plus long-term debt due within one year less cash and cash equivalents), in the following discussion because management considers these measurements to be significant indications of the Company's financial performance and available capital resources. Reported EBITDA and Net Debt are not measures of financial performance or liquidity under GAAP. The Company utilizes Reported EBITDA in evaluating performance of the Company and in allocating resources to its segments. Refer to the end of the Results of Operations section for a reconciliation of Reported EBITDA to net income. Management also believes that Net Debt is an important measurement as it is an indicator of the Company's ability to obtain additional capital resources for its future cash needs. Refer to the end of the Results of Operations section for a reconciliation of Net Debt.

Items excluded from Reported EBITDA and Net Debt are significant components in understanding and assessing financial performance or liquidity. Reported EBITDA and Net Debt should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to, or substitute for, net income, net change in cash and cash equivalents or other financial statement data presented in the Consolidated Financial Statements as indicators of financial performance or liquidity. Because Reported EBITDA and Net Debt are not measurements determined in accordance with GAAP and are thus susceptible to varying calculations, Reported EBITDA and Net Debt as presented may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies.

Overview

The Company's operations are grouped into three integrated and interdependent segments: Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate. Resort is the combination of the Mountain and Lodging segments. Revenue from the Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate segments represented 63%, 18% and 19%, respectively, of the Company's net revenue for Fiscal 2009.

Mountain Segment

The Mountain segment is comprised of the operations of five ski resort properties as well as ancillary businesses, primarily including ski school, dining and retail/rental operations. The Company's five ski resorts were open for business for the 2008/2009 ski season from mid-November through mid-April, which is the peak operating season for the Mountain segment. The Company's single largest source of Mountain segment revenue is the sale of lift tickets (including season passes), which represented approximately 45%, 44% and 43% of Mountain segment net revenue for Fiscal 2009, Fiscal 2008 and Fiscal 2007, respectively.

Lift ticket revenue is driven by volume and pricing. Pricing is impacted by both absolute pricing as well as the demographic mix of guests, which impacts the price points at which various products are purchased. The demographic mix of guests is divided into two primary categories: (i) Destination guests and (ii) In-State guests. For the 2008/2009 ski season, Destination guests comprised approximately 57% of the Company's skier visits, while In-State guests comprised approximately 43% of the Company's skier visits, which compares to approximately 63% and 37%, respectively, for the 2007/2008 ski season and 64% and 36%, respectively, for the 2006/2007 ski season.

Destination guests generally purchase the Company's higher-priced lift ticket products and utilize more ancillary services such as ski school, dining and retail/rental, as well as the lodging at or around the Company's resorts. Destination guest visitation is less likely to be impacted by changes in the weather due to the advance planning generally required for vacation trips, but can be more impacted by adverse economic conditions or the global geopolitical climate. In-State guests tend to be more value-oriented and weather sensitive. Prior to the 2008/2009 ski season, the Company primarily marketed season passes to In-State guests in an effort to offer a value option in turn for a commitment predominately prior to the beginning of the ski season by In-State guests to ski at the Company's resorts. This in turn has developed a loyal customer base that generally skis multiple days each season at the Company's resorts and provides a more stabilized stream of lift revenue to the Company. Given the success of In-State pass products, the Company introduced a new season pass product (the "Epic Season Pass") for the 2008/2009 ski season, marketed to its Destination guests (and also marketed to In-State guests) allowing pass holders unlimited and unrestricted access to all five of its ski resorts during the entire ski season. All of the Company's season pass products, including the Epic Season Pass, are sold predominately prior to the start of the ski season. Season pass revenue, although primarily collected prior to the ski season, is recognized in the Consolidated Condensed Statement of Operations ratably over the ski season. For the 2008/2009, 2007/2008 and 2006/2007 ski season approximately 34%, 26% and 25%, respectively, of total lift revenue recognized was comprised of season pass revenue.

The cost structure of ski resort operations is primarily fixed, with variable expenses including, but not limited to, USDA Forest Service ("Forest Service") fees, credit card fees, retail/rental cost of goods sold and labor, ski school labor and dining operations; as such, profit margins can fluctuate greatly based on the level of revenues.

Lodging Segment

Operations within the Lodging segment include (i) ownership/management of a group of luxury hotels through the RockResorts brand, including several proximate to the Company's ski resorts; (ii) ownership/management of non-RockResorts branded hotels and condominiums proximate to the Company's ski resorts; (iii) Grand Teton Lodge Company ("GTLC"); (iv) Colorado Mountain Express ("CME"), a resort ground transportation company acquired in November 2008; and (v) golf courses.

Lodging properties (including managed condominium rooms) at or around the Company's ski resorts, and CME, are closely aligned with the performance of the Mountain segment, particularly with respect to visitation by Destination guests and represented approximately 68%, 63% and 61% of Lodging segment revenue for Fiscal 2009, Fiscal 2008 and Fiscal 2007, respectively. Revenue of the Lodging segment during the Company's first and fourth fiscal quarters is generated primarily by the operations of GTLC (as GTLC's operating season generally occurs from mid-May to mid-October), golf operations and seasonally low operations from the Company's other owned and managed properties as well as CME.

Real Estate Segment

The Real Estate segment owns and develops real estate in and around the Company's resort communities and primarily engages in the vertical development of projects, as well as, occasionally the sale of land to third-party developers which often includes a contingent revenue structure based on the ultimate sale of the developed units. Revenue from vertical development projects is not recognized until closing of individual units within a project which occurs after substantial completion of the project. Contingent future profits from land sales, if any, are recognized only when received. The Company attempts to mitigate the risk of vertical development by often utilizing guaranteed maximum price construction contracts (although certain construction costs may not be covered by contractual limitations), pre-selling a portion of the project, requiring significant non-refundable deposits, and potentially obtaining non-recourse financing for certain projects. The Company's real estate development projects also may result in the creation of certain resort assets that provide additional benefit to the Mountain and Lodging segments. The Company's revenue from the Real Estate segment, and associated expense, fluctuate based upon the timing of closings and the type of real estate being sold, causing volatility in the Real Estate segment's operating results from period to period.

Recent Trends, Risks and Uncertainties

The data provided in this section should be read in conjunction with the risk factors identified in Item 1A and elsewhere in this Form 10-K. The Company's management has identified the following important factors (as well as uncertainties associated with such factors) that could impact the Company's future financial performance:

· The economic recession that has affected the U.S. and global economies, the tightened credit markets and eroded consumer confidence had a negative impact on overall trends in the travel and leisure industries and on the Company's results of operations for Fiscal 2009. In this environment, the Company experienced a 5.3% decrease in overall skier visitation for the 2008/2009 ski season and a 4.5 percentage point decrease in occupancy at the Company's owned hotels and managed condominium properties (all proximate to the Company's ski resorts) for Fiscal 2009. Additionally, the Company experienced, a decrease in overall guest spending on ancillary services, including ski school, dining and retail/rental. Furthermore, the Company experienced a change in booking trends such that guest reservations were made much closer to the actual date of stay. The Company cannot predict the extent to which these negative trends will continue, worsen or improve or the timing and nature of any changes to the macroeconomic environment, including the impact it may have on the Company's future results of operations, in particular on the 2009/2010 ski season.

· The timing and amount of snowfall can have an impact on Mountain and Lodging revenue particularly in regards to skier visits and the duration and frequency of guest visitation. To mitigate this impact, the Company focuses efforts on the sale of season passes prior to the beginning of the season to In-State guests and Destination guests. Additionally, the Company has invested in snowmaking upgrades in an effort to address the inconsistency of early season snowfall where possible. During the past two ski seasons, early season snowfall has been significantly lower than average, which the Company believes had a negative impact on early season visitation.

· The Company's season pass products provide a value option to its guests which in turn provides a guest commitment predominately prior to the start of the ski season resulting in a more stabilized stream of lift revenue for the Company. The Company introduced the Epic Season Pass for the 2008/2009 ski season, which largely contributed to season pass revenue as a percentage of total lift revenue increasing from 26% for the 2007/2008 ski season to 34% for the 2008/2009 ski season. In March 2009, the Company began its pass sales campaign for the 2009/2010 ski season, including the Epic Season Pass, and as of July 31, 2009 season pass sales have increased $10.0 million, or 32.2%, compared to season pass sales as of July 31, 2008 for the 2008/2009 ski season. The Company cannot predict if this trend will continue through the fall 2009 pass sales campaign or the impact that season pass sales may have on total lift revenue or ETP for the 2009/2010 ski season.

· The Company has historically implemented annual price increases. However, the Company held prices flat for most multi-day lift ticket and certain other products and services for the 2008/2009 ski season. Prices for the 2009/2010 ski season have not yet been finalized; and as such there are no assurances as to the level of price increases, if any, which will occur or the impact that pricing may have on visitation or revenue.

· The Company operates its ski areas under various Forest Service permits, and many of the Company's operations require permits and approval from governmental authorities; therefore many of the Company's on-mountain capital improvements must go through an approval process. Changes or impacts to the applicable regulatory environment may have detrimental effects on the Company.

· Real Estate Reported EBITDA is highly dependent on, among other things, the timing of closings on real estate under contract, which determines when revenue and associated cost of sales is recognized. Changes to the anticipated timing or mix of closing on one or more real estate projects, or unit closings within a real estate project, could materially impact Real Estate Reported EBITDA for a particular quarter or fiscal year. The Company has two real estate projects currently under development which are scheduled to be completed in the spring/summer of 2010 (One Ski Hill Place in Breckenridge) and the fall of 2010 (The Ritz-Carlton Residences, Vail) and has entered into definitive sales contracts with a value of approximately $324.3 million, which represents approximately 68% of the total current estimated sales value for these two projects. The Company has increased risk associated with selling and closing real estate as a result of the continued instability in the capital and credit markets and slowdown in the overall real estate market. In April 2009, in response to current market conditions, the Company announced a reduction of approximately 20% to the listed selling prices of its Ritz-Carlton Residences, Vail, as well as price reductions of approximately 15% for purchasers currently under contract. The Company cannot predict the ultimate number of units that it will sell, the ultimate price it will receive, or when the units will sell. Additionally, if a more severe prolonged economic downturn were to occur the Company may have to further adjust its selling prices in an effort to sell and close on units currently under development, although it currently has no plans to do so.

· The Company had $69.3 million in cash and cash equivalents as of July 31, 2009 as well as $304.7 million available under the revolver component of its Credit Facility. The Company's plan to continue to self-fund its current real estate projects under construction (the Company estimates to incur between $190 million and $210 million in cash expenditures subsequent to July 31, 2009) combined with historically low operating cash flows during the Company's first fiscal quarter will likely require the Company to borrow under the revolver component of its Credit Facility from time to time beginning in the first quarter of fiscal 2010. The Company currently believes it has adequate capacity under its revolver to address potential borrowing needs, even in the event of a more sustained negative economic environment.

· Under GAAP, the Company is required to test goodwill for impairment annually, which the Company does so during the fourth quarter of each fiscal year. The Company evaluates the recoverability of its goodwill by estimating the future discounted cash flows of its reporting units and terminal values of the businesses using projected future levels of income as well as business trends, prospects and market and economic conditions. The Company evaluates the recoverability of indefinite-lived intangible assets using the income approach based upon estimated future revenue streams. The Company's 2009 annual impairment test did not result in a goodwill or indefinite-lived intangible asset impairment (see Critical Accounting Policies in this section of this Form 10-K). However, if a more severe prolonged economic downturn were to occur it could cause less than expected growth and/or reduction in terminal values of the Company's reporting units which may result in a goodwill and/or indefinite-lived intangible asset impairment charge attributable to certain goodwill and/or indefinite lived-intangible assets, particularly related to its lodging and retail/rental operations.

Results of Operations

Summary

Shown below is a summary of operating results for Fiscal 2009, Fiscal 2008 and
Fiscal 2007 (in thousands):

                                                          Year Ended July 31,
                                                   2009          2008          2007
     Mountain Reported EBITDA                   $ 164,389     $ 220,561     $ 207,728
     Lodging Reported EBITDA                        6,759        10,225        18,199
     Resort Reported EBITDA                       171,148       230,786       225,927
     Real Estate Reported EBITDA                   44,080        45,937        (2,482 )

     Income before provision for income taxes      79,594       166,013       100,651
     Net income                                 $  48,950     $ 102,927     $  61,397

Mountain Segment

Mountain segment operating results for Fiscal 2009, Fiscal 2008 and Fiscal 2007
are presented by category as follows (in thousands, except ETP):

                                                                     Percentage
                                Year Ended July 31,             Increase/(Decrease)
                           2009        2008        2007       2009/2008      2008/2007
Net Mountain revenue:
   Lift tickets          $ 276,542   $ 301,914   $ 286,997      (8.4 ) %         5.2  %
   Ski school               65,336      81,384      78,848     (19.7 ) %         3.2  %
   Dining                   52,259      62,506      59,653     (16.4 ) %         4.8  %
   Retail/rental           147,415     168,765     160,542     (12.7 ) %         5.1  %
   Other                    73,045      70,964      79,337       2.9  %        (10.6 )%
Total Mountain net
revenue                  $ 614,597   $ 685,533   $ 665,377     (10.3 ) %         3.0  %
Mountain operating
expense:
   Labor and
labor-related benefits   $ 165,550   $ 175,674   $ 167,442      (5.8 ) %         4.9  %
   Retail cost of
sales                       66,022      72,559      69,218      (9.0 ) %         4.8  %
   Resort related fees      33,102      36,335      34,943      (8.9 ) %         4.0  %
   General and
administrative              83,117      81,220      81,983       2.3  %         (0.9 )%
   Other                   103,234     104,574     109,122      (1.3 ) %        (4.2 )%
Total Mountain
operating expense        $ 451,025   $ 470,362   $ 462,708      (4.1 ) %         1.7  %
Mountain equity
investment income, net         817       5,390       5,059     (84.8 ) %         6.5  %
Total Mountain
Reported EBITDA          $ 164,389   $ 220,561   $ 207,728     (25.5 ) %         6.2  %

Total skier visits           5,864       6,195       6,219      (5.3 ) %        (0.4 )%
ETP                      $   47.16   $   48.74   $   46.15      (3.2 ) %         5.6  %

Total Mountain Reported EBITDA includes $4.8 million, $3.8 million and $3.8 million of stock-based compensation expense for Fiscal 2009, Fiscal 2008 and Fiscal 2007, respectively.

Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008

Lift revenue decreased $25.4 million, or 8.4%, for Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008, primarily as a result of a $42.2 million, or 18.8%, decline in lift revenue excluding season pass revenue, partially offset by an increase in season pass revenue of $16.8 million, or 21.7%. The increase in season pass revenue was driven by higher season pass sales resulting primarily from the introduction of the Epic Season Pass in the 2008/2009 ski season. Additionally, a portion of the decline in lift revenue excluding season pass revenue was caused by a shift in Destination guests purchasing the Epic Season Pass instead of other lift ticket products.

Total skier visitation was down 5.3% in the 2008/2009 ski season compared to the 2007/2008 ski season, with overall visitation for the four Colorado resorts (excluding Heavenly) being down 3.5%. The overall visitation decline was primarily as a result of an estimated 15% decrease in visitation from Destination guests, partially offset by strong visitation from season pass holders, especially from the new Epic Season Pass holders, who on average skied more in the current year per pass than holders of our other pass products. ETP decreased 3.2%, driven by an increase in average season pass holder visitation per pass sold, partially offset by a 2.9% increase in ETP excluding season pass products, driven by price increases on certain lift ticket products.

Revenues for the Company's ski school, dining and retail/rental operations, were all negatively impacted by the severe downturn in the economic environment which resulted from the decrease in Destination guest visitation as well as overall spending per guest. Ski school revenue decreased $16.0 million, or 19.7%, in Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008, as ski school revenue is primarily driven by Destination guests. Dining revenue decreased $10.2 million, or 16.4%, in Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008, due to an approximate 11% decrease in the number of total on-mountain food and beverage transactions, coupled with an even greater decline in fine dining. Revenue from retail/rental operations decreased $21.4 million, or 12.7%, in Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008 primarily due to lower sales and rental volumes at the Company's mountain resort stores.

Other revenue mainly consists of private club revenue (which includes both club dues and amortization of initiation fees), summer visitation and other mountain activities revenue, allocated strategic alliance revenue, commercial leasing revenue, employee housing revenue, municipal services revenue and other recreation activity revenue. For Fiscal 2009 other revenues increased $2.1 million, or 2.9%, compared to Fiscal 2008, primarily due to private club operations (which revenue increased $4.1 million) resulting from the opening of the Vail Mountain Club in November 2008.

Operating expense decreased $19.3 million, or 4.1%, during Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008. This decrease primarily resulted from a decrease in labor and labor-related benefits expense of $10.1 million, or 5.8%, due to decreased staffing levels driven by lower volume in ski school, dining and retail/rental operations as well as the impacts of cost reduction initiatives including the suspension of the Company's matching contribution to its 401(k) program effective January 2009 and a company-wide wage reduction plan implemented in April 2009 and a $6.5 million, or 9.0%, decrease in retail cost of sales (commensurate with the decrease in retail revenue). Additionally, resort related fees (including Forest Service fees, other resort-related fees, credit card fees and commissions) decreased $3.2 million, or 8.9%, compared to Fiscal 2008 due to overall declines in revenue that those fees are calculated on and other expenses decreased $1.3 million, or 1.3%, due primarily to lower food and beverage cost of sales, supplies and fuel expense, partially offset by higher property taxes, utilities and repairs and maintenance expense. All of the above decreases were slightly offset by a $1.9 million, or 2.3%, increase in general and administrative expenses primarily due to higher allocated corporate expenses.

Mountain equity investment income primarily includes the Company's share of income from the operations of a real estate brokerage joint venture. The decrease in equity investment income for Fiscal 2009 compared to Fiscal 2008 is primarily due to decreased commissions earned by the brokerage due to a lower level of real estate closures compared to Fiscal 2008.

Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007

Lift ticket revenue increased $14.9 million, or 5.2%, for Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007, primarily as a result of a 7.6% increase in ETP excluding season pass products, which was driven by an increase in absolute pricing. Season pass revenue increased $5.5 million, or 7.7%, for Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007. This increase in season pass revenue was due to an increase in pricing, with season pass holders' average visitation per pass increasing for the 2007/2008 ski season compared to the 2006/2007 ski season which offset the increase in ETP resulting from price increases. Skier visits excluding season pass holders decreased 3.0% for the 2007/2008 ski season compared to the 2006/2007 ski season as a result of lower skier visitation excluding season pass holders in non-peak periods, including the early season (prior to December 24) due to below average snow conditions, and early March and April due in part to the timing of Easter which was in March for Fiscal 2008 versus April for Fiscal 2007. The decrease in skier visits excluding season pass holders was offset by significant increases in international visitation which was higher by an estimated 26% for Fiscal 2008.

Revenue for the Company's ski school and dining increased $2.5 million, or 3.2%, and $2.9 million, or 4.8%, respectively, for Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007, primarily as a result of absolute price increases. The increase in ski school revenue was impacted by a decline in skier visitation excluding season pass holders (as discussed above) as these guests have a higher participation rate in ski school. The increase in dining revenue was favorably impacted by the acquisition of two licensed Starbucks stores in June 2007. Retail/rental revenue increased $8.2 million, or 5.1%, for Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007, primarily due to increased operations related to the 18 Breeze Ski Rental locations that were acquired in June 2007.

Other revenues decreased $8.4 million, or 10.6%, in Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007, due to the disposition of the Company's investment in RTP in April 2007. Excluding RTP, other revenue would have increased $0.6 million, or 0.8%, for Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007.

Operating expense increased $7.7 million, or 1.7%, during Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007. This increase primarily resulted from an increase in labor and labor-related benefits expense of $8.2 million, or 4.9%, due to wage increases, increased staffing in retail/rental due to the acquisition of 18 Breeze stores and higher workers' compensation costs and a $3.3 million, or 4.8%, increase in retail cost of sales (which was commensurate with the increase in retail revenue). Additionally, resort related fees (including Forest Service fees, other resort-related fees, credit card fees and commissions) increased $1.4 million, or 4.0%, in Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007 and was due to overall increases in revenue that those fees are calculated on. These increases were partially offset by a decrease in other expenses of $4.5 million, or 4.2%, due to the sale of RTP (April 2007), which incurred $8.8 million in expenses (included in other operating expenses) for Fiscal 2007. Excluding the impact of RTP, other operating expenses increased $4.3 million, or 4.3%, due primarily to higher food and beverage cost of sales, property taxes, utilities and fuel expense, partially offset by lower repairs and maintenance expense.

Mountain equity investment income primarily includes the Company's share of income from operations of a real estate brokerage joint venture. The increase in equity investment income in Fiscal 2008 compared to Fiscal 2007 is due primarily to increased commissions earned by the brokerage associated with increased real estate closures surrounding the Company's Colorado resorts, both from residential and multi-unit projects.

Lodging Segment

Lodging segment operating results for Fiscal 2009, Fiscal 2008 and Fiscal 2007
are presented by category as follows (in thousands, except ADR and RevPAR):

                                                                          Percentage
                                       Year Ended July 31,           Increase/(Decrease)
                                    2009      2008      2007        2009/2008    2008/2007
. . .
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